From the effect of Joe Biden’s debate to the fallout from Donald Trump’s criminal conviction, here’s a look at the very worst in prognostications this year.
BBC correspondents forecast the leading news stories for the year ahead. If 2024 was the year of elections - around half the world’s population went to the polls this year alone - then 2025 will be ...
A prediction market was more accurate in forecasting the 2024 presidential election than traditional polls and pundits. Prediction markets, also known as betting markets, are where contracts that ...
A prediction market was more accurate in forecasting the 2024 presidential election than traditional polls and pundits. Prediction markets, also known as betting markets, are where contracts that ...
The researchers found that tweets generated by bots only accounted for 3% to 5% of posts compared to about 20% in a presidential election. "The bandwagon-based predictions were highly accurate and ...